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SEAMOCS – Workshop on |
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| Implications of climate change for marine and coastal safety | |
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Palmse, Estonia (70 km east of Tallinn) |
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October 11&12, 2007 |
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Thursday, 11 October |
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Background: Climate Change and its impact |
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| Chair: Tarmo Soomere | |
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09.00 – 09.10 |
Welcome & Introduction (Organizing committee) |
| 09.10 – 09.40 | Climate change – physical background (Andreas Sterl, KNMI, De Bilt) |
| the climate system – greenhouse gases (GHG) – radiative forcing – future GHG emissions | |
| 09.40 – 10.10 | Scenarios for future climate (Albert Klein Tank, KNMI, De Bilt) |
| climate models – uncertainties – scenarios for 2050 and 2100 | |
| 10.10 Р10.40 | Methodology for statistical detection of climate change (Aur̩lien Ribes, Univ. Toulouse) |
| 10.40 – 11.00 | Coffee break |
| Chair: Georg Lindgren | |
| 11.00 – 11.30 | Climate change and shifts in the Baltic Sea (Tarmo Soomere, IoC, Tallinn) |
| 11.30 – 12.00 | Changes of wind structure during the latter half-century (Sirje Keevallik, IoC, Tallinn) |
| 12.00 – 12.30 | Use of statistics of extremes to detect trends in hurricane statistics (Richard Katz, NCAR, Boulder) |
| 12.30 – 13.45 | Lunch |
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Determination of extreme wave heights |
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| Chair: Jaak Monbaliu | |
| 13.45 – 14.15 | Numerical simulation of long (ship) waves (Tomas Torsvik, Bergen/Tallinn) |
| 14.15 – 14.45 | Waves, wave climate, extreme waves – knowledge from direct observations, space-born retrievals, and modeling (Elzbieta Bitner-Gregersen, DNV, Hövik) |
| 14.45 – 15.15 | Extreme wave crests in space and time (Anastassia Baxevani, Chalmers Univ., Göteborg) |
| 15.15 – 15.45 | Estimating extremes (Clive Anderson, Univ. Sheffield) Techniques – applicability – uncertainties – sparse data (gaps) |
| 15.45 – 16.05 | Coffee break |
| Chair: Andreas Sterl | |
| 16.05 – 16.35 | Extreme wave heights from models (Luigi Cavaleri, ISMAR, Venice) |
| 16.35 – 17.05 | Extreme wave heights from satellites (Peter Challenor, NOC, Southampton) |
| 17.05 – 17.35 | New generation of wind and wave climate handbooks (Approaches and some results) (Leonid Lopatoukhin and Alexander Boukhanovsky, St.Petersburg) |
| 18.15 | Evening Program + Workshop Dinner |
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Friday, 12 October |
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Coastal processes |
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Chair: Jean-Marc Azals Jean-Marc Azals |
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| 09.00 – 09.30 | Coastal defence: How to deal with climate change? (Jaak Monbaliu, Univ. Leuven) |
| 09.30 – 10.00 | Implications for marine and coastal safety (Elzbieta Bitner-Gregersen, DNV, Hovik) winds – waves – sea level – others |
| 10.00 – 10.30 | Large effects of small structures on coastal evolution (case studies at Estonian coasts) (Andres Kask, IoC, Tallinn) |
| 10.30 – 10.50 | Coffee break |
| Chair: Elzbieta Bitner-Gregersen | |
| 10.50 – 11.10 | Runup of long asymmetric waves (Irina Didenkulova, IoC, Tallinn) |
| 11.10 – 11.30 | Statistics of extreme dynamic behaviour of marine structures (Marc Prevosto, IFREMER, Brest) |
| 11.30 – 12.30 | Needs for future research (all participants) Identify gaps in our knowledge & understanding – suggest research to fill them |
| 12.30 – 13.30 | Lunch – workshop ends |
| 13.30 | Transport to the airport |
| Afternoon: | CENS-CMA (http://cens.ioc.ee/cens/research-teams/nonlinear-waves/cens-cma) event Applied Wave Mathematics. All attendees of the SEAMOCS workshop are invited to attend. More information from Tarmo Soomere (tarmo.soomere@cs.ioc.ee). |
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Saturday, 13 October |
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| The possibility of a joint (SEAMOCS and CENS-CMA) sightseeing tour is explored. If your are interested, please contact Tarmo Soomere (tarmo.soomere@cs.ioc.ee). |