SEAMOCS – Workshop on

  Implications of climate change for marine and coastal safety
   
 

Palmse, Estonia (70 km east of Tallinn)

 

October 11&12, 2007

 

 

Thursday, 11 October

 

Background: Climate Change and its impact

   
Chair: Tarmo Soomere  

09.00 – 09.10

Welcome & Introduction (Organizing committee)
09.10 – 09.40 Climate change – physical background (Andreas Sterl, KNMI, De Bilt)
  the climate system – greenhouse gases (GHG) – radiative forcing – future GHG emissions
09.40 – 10.10 Scenarios for future climate (Albert Klein Tank, KNMI, De Bilt)
  climate models – uncertainties – scenarios for 2050 and 2100
10.10 Р10.40 Methodology for statistical detection of climate change (Aur̩lien Ribes, Univ. Toulouse)
10.40 – 11.00 Coffee break
   
Chair: Georg Lindgren  
11.00 – 11.30 Climate change and shifts in the Baltic Sea (Tarmo Soomere, IoC, Tallinn)
11.30 – 12.00 Changes of wind structure during the latter half-century (Sirje Keevallik, IoC, Tallinn)
12.00 – 12.30 Use of statistics of extremes to detect trends in hurricane statistics (Richard Katz, NCAR, Boulder)
12.30 – 13.45 Lunch
   
 

Determination of extreme wave heights

Chair: Jaak Monbaliu  
13.45 – 14.15 Numerical simulation of long (ship) waves (Tomas Torsvik, Bergen/Tallinn)
14.15 – 14.45 Waves, wave climate, extreme waves – knowledge from direct observations,
space-born retrievals, and modeling
(Elzbieta Bitner-Gregersen, DNV, Hövik)
14.45 – 15.15 Extreme wave crests in space and time (Anastassia Baxevani, Chalmers Univ., Göteborg)
15.15 – 15.45 Estimating extremes (Clive Anderson, Univ. Sheffield)
Techniques – applicability – uncertainties – sparse data (gaps)
15.45 – 16.05 Coffee break
   
Chair: Andreas Sterl  
16.05 – 16.35 Extreme wave heights from models (Luigi Cavaleri, ISMAR, Venice)
16.35 – 17.05 Extreme wave heights from satellites (Peter Challenor, NOC, Southampton)
17.05 – 17.35 New generation of wind and wave climate handbooks (Approaches and some
results) (Leonid Lopatoukhin and Alexander Boukhanovsky, St.Petersburg)
18.15 Evening Program + Workshop Dinner
   
 

Friday, 12 October

 

Coastal processes

   

Chair: Jean-Marc Azals

Jean-Marc Azals

 
09.00 – 09.30 Coastal defence: How to deal with climate change? (Jaak Monbaliu, Univ. Leuven)
09.30 – 10.00 Implications for marine and coastal safety (Elzbieta Bitner-Gregersen, DNV, Hovik)
winds – waves – sea level – others
10.00 – 10.30 Large effects of small structures on coastal evolution (case studies at Estonian
coasts) (Andres Kask, IoC, Tallinn)
10.30 – 10.50 Coffee break
   
Chair: Elzbieta Bitner-Gregersen  
10.50 – 11.10 Runup of long asymmetric waves (Irina Didenkulova, IoC, Tallinn)
11.10 – 11.30 Statistics of extreme dynamic behaviour of marine structures (Marc Prevosto, IFREMER, Brest)
11.30 – 12.30 Needs for future research (all participants)
Identify gaps in our knowledge & understanding – suggest research to fill them
12.30 – 13.30 Lunch – workshop ends
13.30 Transport to the airport
   
   
Afternoon: CENS-CMA (http://cens.ioc.ee/cens/research-teams/nonlinear-waves/cens-cma)
event Applied Wave Mathematics. All attendees of the SEAMOCS workshop are invited to
attend. More information from Tarmo Soomere (tarmo.soomere@cs.ioc.ee).
   
 

Saturday, 13 October

   
  The possibility of a joint (SEAMOCS and CENS-CMA) sightseeing tour is explored. If your are
interested, please contact Tarmo Soomere (tarmo.soomere@cs.ioc.ee).